Eighteenth MEDITERRANEAN CLIMATE OUTLOOK FORUM (ON-LINE)

April 28 - May 31, 2022

>> Online Forum   

MedCOF-18 comprises 3 steps. The first one is devoted to verification of the MedCOF-17 winter forecast; the second one to the assessment of current state of climate and, finally, the third one to the building of consensus statements.There has also been a preCOF on-line session. 

In every step, all communications go through the forum tool:   http://medcoforum.aemet.es.

 

STEP-1: Verification of winter 2021-22 seasonal forecast

Editors: P. Bissolli and R. Selmi (also moderators)

Deadlines:

  • Thu 28th April :         National verification reports posted on the forum ((only countries not belonging to any subregional COF)
  • Fri 6th May:              First draft compilation posted on the forum
  • Fri 6th – Thu 12th May: Discussion
  • Thu 12th May:           Second draft compilation ready for adoption

STEP-2: Assessment of the current state of climate

Editors: C. Viel, P. Bissolli and R. Selmi (also moderators)

Deadlines:

  • Wed 18th May:                   Monitoring contributions from participants (all, on voluntary basis)
  • Thu 19th May:                    First draft on the current state of climate
  • Thu 19th – Mon 23st May: Discussion                
  • Thu 24th May:    Second draft compilation ready for adoption

 

STEP-3: Building of the consensus statement

Editors: C. Viel, W. Badi, E. Rodríguez

Deadlines:

  • Fri 20th May:                           Reports from RCCs (C. Viel, W. Badi, GPC contributors)
  • Mon 23rd  May:                       First draft consensus
  • Mon 23rd – Wed 25th May:     Discussion
  • Wed 25th May:                        Second draft consensus
  • Wed 25th – Fri 27th May:        Discussion
  • Mon 30th May:                         Final document ready for adoption
  • Tue 31st May:                          Webex and adoption of STEP1, 2 and 3 documents

 

 

Training Workshop: "Elements for the production of Objective Seasonal Forecasts: MedCOFsub-region"

Date: 31th May (link: https://bit.ly/3yTLguJ) - 1st Jun (link: https://bit.ly/3MLwuuc)

 

Tentative program:

 

May 31st

9:00-10:00 Introduction (Wilfran Moufouma and Ernesto Rodríguez)

Block 1: Sources of seasonal predictability in MedCOF region

  • 10:00 -11:00 Predictability from ENSO/PDO (Bianca Mezzina)
  • 11:00-12:00 Predictability from Siberian snow cover(Paolo Ruggieri)
  • 12:00-13:00 Lunch break
  • 13:00-14:00 Additional sources of predictability (Javier García-Serrano)

 

June 1st

Block 2: Available seasonal climate information:

  • 9:00-10:00 Seasonal forecast information at C3S (Anca Brookshaw)
  • 10:00-11:00 Other sources of information and empirical forecasts (Esteban Rodríguez)

Block 3: Downstream and sectoral application climate services

  • 11:00-12:00 Climate services prototypes for renewable energy sector(Albert Soret)
  • 12:00-13:00 Lunch break
  • 13:00-14:00 Climate services prototypes for water sector (Ernesto Rodríguez/Esteban Rodríguez)
  • 14:00-15:00 Climate services prototypes for agriculture and forestry sectors (José-Costa Saura)

 

Please, note that all hours in this schedule are in CEST time zone (UTC+2)

 

Click here to download the tentative program.