Fifteenth MEDITERRANEAN CLIMATE OUTLOOK FORUM (ON-LINE)
Oct 15 - Nov 24, 2020
MedCOF-15 comprises 3 steps. The first one has been devoted to verification of the MedCOF-14 summer forecast; the second one to the assessment of current state of climate and, finally, the third one to the building of consensus statements. There has also been a preCOF on-line session mostly to communicate current status of projects and initiatives relevant for the MedCOF community.
In every step, all communications have gone through the forum tool: http://medcoforum.aemet.es.
PreCOF session:
Date: 26th November 2020 at 14:00
In the frame of the ERA4CS MEDSCOPE project a collection of climate services prototypes are being developed and evaluated for three climate sensitive sectors: renewable energy, water management and agriculture/forestry.
The first part of the preCOF session has been focused on four examples of climate services prototypes. Further examples have been presented and discussed in future MedCOF sessions. A series of videos have been prepared and ideally you should watch them before the on-line session (26th Nov). The on-line session has been mainly (after a short introduction) a Q&A session dealing with your doubts and concerns about the presented material.
- Introduction to MEDSCOPE climate services prototypes (AEMET)
- Wind power monthly forecasts (BSC)
- Seasonal forecasts of winter inflow to reservoirs (AEMET)
- Seasonal predictions for cereal crops yield (AEMET)
- Seasonal forecasts of EcoClimatic Indicators (CMCC)
Click on the title to download the mp4 files.
The second part of the preCOF session has been a description and tutorial of the new PyCPT tool developed by the International Research Institute (IRI). PyCPT is a new and easy-to-use Python interface to CPT. This part of the session has been conducted by Nachiketa Acharya (IRI).
Click on the title to download the pdf file.
STEP-1: Verification of summer 20 seasonal forecast
Editors: P. Bissolli and R. Selmi (also moderators)
Deadlines:
- Mon26th October: National verification reports posted on the forum
- Fri 30th October: First draft (large ecale) verification
- Fri 30th October –Mon 9th November: Discussion
- Tue 10th November: Second draft verification ready for adoption
Click here to download the Final Assessment of MedCOF14 Climate Outlook for summer season 2020.
STEP-2: Assessment of the current state of climate
Editors: C. Viel, P. Bissolli and R. Selmi (also moderators)
Deadlines:
- Fri 6th November: Monitoring contributions from participants (all, on voluntary basis)
- Mon 9th November: First draft for the current state of climate
- Mon 9th – Wed 11th November: Discussion
- Wed 11th November: Second draft
- Wed 11th – Fri 13th November: Discussion
- Fri 13th November: Final document ready for adoption Extended until Mon 16th November
Click here to download the summary document for step 2 based on the working reports produced by RAI NA RCC-CM, RAVI RCC-CM and RAVI RCC-LRF.
STEP-3: Building of the consensus statement
Editors: C. Viel, W. Badi, E. Rodríguez
Deadlines:
- Mon 16th November: Reports from RCCs (C. Viel, W. Badi, GPC contributors)
- Wed 18th November: First draft consensus
- Wed 18th – Thu 19th November: Discussion
- Fri 20th November: Second draft consensus
- Fri 20th – Mon 23th (at noon) November: Discussion
- Mon 23th November: Final document ready for adoption
- Tue 24th November: Webex and adoption of STEP1, 2 and 3 documents
Click here to download the Consensus Statement MedCOF-15 for winter season 2020/21.