Programme

Second MedCOF Training Workshop on Verification of Operational Seasonal Forecasts in the Mediterranean region

Rome, Italy, on 15-18 November 2016

15 November 2016 (Tuesday)
	Registration and Opening
08:30	Participants registration
09:00	Opening Session Marina Baldi, IBIMET RTC Antonio Raschi, IBIMET-CNR Ernesto Rodriguez Camino, AEMET Silvio Cau, Servizio Meteorologico dell’Aereonautica Militare
10:00	J.P. Ceron: “Verification of seasonal forecasts: what for?”
11:00	COFFEE BREAK
11:30	J.P. Ceron: “"Verification of seasonal forecasts: review of concepts" E. Di Giuseppe: “Introduction to open source R"
13:30	LUNCH BREAK
15:00	J. P. Ceron: “Exercises on use of probabilistic forecasts, ROC areas and reliability” (Practical Session)
16:30	COFFEE BREAK
17:00	J. P. Ceron: “Exercises on use of probabilistic forecasts, ROC areas and reliability” (Practical Session)
16 November 2016 (Wednesday)
09:00	J.P Ceron: “Seasonal Forecast Verification. User oriented verification" P. Athanasiadis: “Metrics and diagnostics for seasonal forecasts evaluation”
11:00	COFFEE BREAK
11:30	M. Pasqui: “Downscaling techniques: do they always improve seasonal forecasts?” E. Di Giuseppe: “Data analysis and manipulation with open source R tool ” (Practical Session)
13:30	LUNCH BREAK
15:00	E. Di Giuseppe: “Data analysis and manipulation with open source R tool ” (Practical Session)
16:30	COFFEE BREAK
17:00	E. Di Giuseppe: “Data analysis and manipulation with open source R tool ” (Practical Session)
17 November 2016 (Thursday)
09:00	E. Rodríguez: “Verification of seasonal forecasts for sectoral variables” S. Gualdi: “Diagnostics for physical evaluation of seasonal models"
11:00	COFFEE BREAK
11:30	C. Coelho: “Introduction to the R Forecast Verification Package”
12:30	C. Coelho: “Hands-on session using R Forecast Verification Package: a) unconditional biases and hits; b) scoring probabilistic forecasts” (Practical Session)”
13:30	LUNCH BREAK
15:00	C. Coelho: “Hands-on session using R Forecast Verification Package: a) unconditional biases and hits; b) scoring probabilistic forecasts” (Practical Session)”
16:30	COFFEE BREAK
17:00	C. Coelho: “Hands-on session using R Forecast Verification Package: a) unconditional biases and hits; b) scoring probabilistic forecasts” (Practical Session)”
18 November 2016 (Friday)
09:00	C. Coelho: “Hybrid (empirical-dynamical) EUROBRISA forecasting system” S. Materia: “Diagnostics for physical evaluation of seasonal models over the Mediterranean region”
11:00	COFFEE BREAK
11:30	C. Coelho: “Hands-on session using R Forecast Verification Package: a) reliability and resolution; b) ROC diagrams” (Practical Session)
13:30	LUNCH BREAK
15:00	C. Coelho: “Hands-on session using R Forecast Verification Package: a) reliability and resolution; b) ROC diagrams” (Practical Session) P. Bissolli: “Verification of MedCOF consensus forecasts”
16:30	COFFEE BREAK
17:00	Training Course Evaluation Training Course Closure

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