First Training MedCOF Workshop on Seasonal Forecasting

Madrid, Spain, on 26-30 October 2015

26 October 2015 (Monday)
  Registration and Opening
08:30-09:00 Registration of participants
09:00-09:30 Opening. Self-introductions of participants and available resource persons
09:30-10:00 COFFEE BREAK
 

Session: Monitoring of the climate system

Resource persons: P. Bissolli, C. Photiadou, C. Viel, S. Ben Rached, B. Rodríguez-Fonseca, E. Rodríguez-Camino

10:00-11:00 B. Rodríguez-Fonseca: "Basic aspects of climate and climate variability over the Mediterranean region"
11:00-12:00 C. Photiadou: "Overview of available data and tools for monitoring of the climate system"
12:00-13:00 E. Rodríguez-Camino: "Monitoring in MedCOF: observed temperature and precipitation anomalies over the region"
13:00-14:00 LUNCH BREAK
14:00-15:00 P. Bissolli, S. Ben Rached, C. Viel: "Monitoring in MedCOF. Step 2 report. Discussion session"
 

Session: Visualization

Resource persons: Grahame Niles, Courney Forde, Soumaya Ben Rached, Elena Flórez

15:00-16:00 G. Niles/ C. Forde: "An overview of GIS, the associated data types (Vectors and Rasters) and its application in climate analysis "
16:00-16:30 COFFEE BREAK
16:30-18:30 G. Niles/ C. Forde: "LAB instructions (I) - Introduction to QGIS"
27 October 2015 (Tuesday)
 

Session: Liaising with research to improve RCOFs. Experiences from other RCOFs

Resource persons: Andre Kamga, Rodney Martínez

09:00-10:00 R. Martínez: "The implementation of RCOFs in South America: lessons learnt and remaining challenges"
10:00-11:00 A. Kamga: "RCOFs in RAI"
11:00-11:30 COFFEE BREAK
 

Session: Visualization (cont.)

Resource persons: Grahame Niles, Courney Forde, S. Ben Rached, , Elena Flórez

11:30-13:00 All resource persons for this session: "LAB instructions (II) – QGIS handling procedures for vector, raster and ASCII data"
13:00-14:00 ICE BREAKER
14:00-15:30 All resource persons for this session: "LAB instructions (II) – QGIS handling procedures for vector, raster and ASCII data"
15:30-16:30 All resource persons for this session: "LAB instructions (III) – A lesson in map creation with QGIS, using temperature forecast data"
16:30-17:00 COFFEE BREAK
17:00-18:00 All resource persons for this session: "LAB instructions (III) – A lesson in map creation with QGIS, using temperature forecast data"
28 October 2015 (Wednesday)
 

Session: Verification of consensus forecasts and models

Resource persons: Simon Mason

09:00-10:00 S. Mason: "Introduction"
10:00-11:00 S. Mason: "CCl WMO guidelines"
11:00-11:30 COFFEE BREAK
11:30-12:30 S. Mason: "Available software for verification"
12:30-13:30 S. Mason: "WMO LC-SVSLRF web portal for models verification"
13:30-14:30 LUNCH BREAK
14:30-16:30 S. Mason: "Objective verification of consensus forecasts. Hands-on session"
16:30-17:00 COFFEE BREAK
17:00-18:00 S. Mason: "Verification in MedCOF. Discussion session"
29 October 2015 (Thursday)
 

Session: Predictability at seasonal timescale

Resource persons: F.J. Doblas-Reyes, J. García-Serrano, C. Prodhomme, S. Materia, J. Eden, S. Mason

09:00-10:00 F.J. Doblas-Reyes: "Introduction and fundamentals of seasonal prediction"
10:00-11:00 J. García-Serrano: "Drivers/empirical predictors of mid-latitude seasonal forecasts"
11:00-11:30 COFFEE BREAK
11:30-12:30 J. Eden: "Introduction to empirical models including relevant statistical concepts"
12:30-13:30 S. Mason: "Data requirements for seasonal to interannual climate prediction: Introduction to IRI data library (hands-on session)"
13:30-14:30 LUNCH BREAK
14:30-15:30 S. Materia: "Seasonal predictability in the MedCOF region and windows of opportunity"
15:30-16:30 J. Eden: "The Climate Explorer as a tool for seasonal prediction (hands-on session)"
16:30-17:00 COFFEE BREAK
17:00-18:00 C. Prodhomme: "Seasonal prediction of seasonal extremes"
30 October 2015 (Friday)
 

Session: Interpretation of seasonal model outputs. How to organize/reach consensuated forecast?

Resource persons: Jean-Pierre Ceron, Christian Viel, Fatima Driouech

09:00-10:00 C. Viel: "Overview of available data and tools for seasonal forecast production"
10:00-11:00 C. Viel: "WMO LC-LRFMME web portal for GPC data products. Hands-on session."
11:00-11:30 COFFEE BREAK
11:30-12:00 C. Viel: "Introduction to RCC LRF Bulletins from MF"
12:00-12:30 A. Kasmi: "RCC-North Africa LRF Bulletin"
12:30-13:30 LUNCH BREAK
13:30-14:30 J.P. Ceron: "Downscaling."
14:30-15:30 J.P. Ceron / S. Mason: "Climate information: What to do when predictability is poor?"
15:30-16:30 J.P. Ceron: "Panel Discussion session: panelists (all resource persons – 5 min each, followed by the discussion). Consensual seasonal forecast in MedCOF."
16:30-16:40 Closure
16:40-17:00 COFFEE BREAK

 

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