Eleventh Session of the MEDITERRANEAN CLIMATE OUTLOOK FORUM (MedCOF-11)

Cairo, Egypt, November 26-29, 2018

Monday 26 November 2018

08:30-09:00 Registration
09:00-09:30

Opening & Working arrangements

Welcome remarks:

  • Mr Milan Dacic on behalf of the Secretary-General of the World Meteorological Organization (WMO, Switzerland)
  • Mr Tarek Sadek United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Western Asia (ESCWA, Lebanon)
  • Mr Ahmed Abd Aal Chairman Board of Directors (EMA, Egypt)
  • Information on logistical arrangements during the sessions (host)
  Pre-COF Session
09:30-10:30

Session I (chair: Ashraf Zakey)

10:30-11:00 COFFEE BREAK & GROUP PHOTO
11:00-13:00

Session I (cont.) (chair: Ashraf Zakey)

13:00-14:00 LUNCH BREAK
14:00-15:30

Session II (chair: Milan Dacic)

15:30-16:00 COFFEE BREAK
16:00-17:30

Session II (chair: Milan Dacic)

17:30 Adjourn day 1
Tuesday, 27 November 2018
09:00-10:00

Session I – Verification of previous outlooks - Step 1 (chair: Silvio Gualdi)

10:00-11:00

Session II – Climate monitoring – Step 2 (chair: Silvio Gualdi)

11:00-11:30 COFFEE BREAK
11:30-13:00

Session III - Production of large-scale climate outlook for winter (DJF) 2018-2019 (chair: Branko Bijelic)

13:00-14:00 LUNCH BREAK
14:00-15:30

Session III - Production of large-scale climate outlook for winter (DJF) 2018-2019 (cont.) (chair: Roxana Bojariu)

15:30-16:00 COFFEE BREAK
16:00-17:30

Session III - Production of large-scale climate outlook for winter (DJF) 2018-2019 (Chair: C. Viel/W. Badi) (cont.)

17:30 Adjourn day 2
Wednesday, 28 November 2018
09:00-11:00

Parallel sessions SEECOF-20, PRESANORD-12 and ArabCOF-3

 

SEECOF-20

 

Session 2: Climate monitoring and verification of previous climate outlooks (SEECOF-18 and -19) (Chair: Ms. Roxana Bojariu (tbc))

  • Verification of the SEECOF-18 Climate outlook for 2017/2018 winter season: Mr. Branko Bijelic, RA VI RCC-SEEVCCC/RHMSS (30 minutes)
  • Verification of the SEECOF-19 Climate outlook for 2018 summer season: Ms. Ana Savovic, RA VI RCC-SEEVCCC/RHMSS (30 minutes)
  • Climate outlook for 2018 summer in the SEECOF member states:
    • Verification of the SEECOF-19 Climate outlook for 2018 summer season in Croatia: Ms Dunja Placko-Vrsnak, Croatia(10 minutes) (tbc)
    • Verification of the SEECOF-19 Climate outlook for 2018 summer season in Georgia: Ms. Khatuna Kokosadze, Georgia (10 minutes)( tbc)
    • Verification of the SEECOF-19 Climate Outlook for 2018 summer in Bulgaria: Mr. Ilian Gospodinov, Bulgaria (10 minutes) (tbc)
  • Discussion and approval of the draft documents of the verification of the SEECOF-18 and SEECOF-19 Climate Outlooks
 

PRESANORD-12

 

Session 2: Climate monitoring and verification of previous climate outlooks (PRESANORD-11) Chair: Mr Salah Sahabi Abed (tbc)

  • Verification of the PRESANORD-11 outlook for 2017/18 winter season: Mr Salah Sahabi Abed (tbc)
  • Verification of PRESANORD-11 climate outlook over :
    • Algeria: Mr Salah Sahabi Abed (tbc)
    • Egypt: Ms Awatif Mostafa (tbc)
    • Lybia: Mr Eshtewi Rabha (tbc)
    • Morocco: Ms Wafae Badi
    • Tunisia: Ms Rabeb Selmi (tbc)
  • Discussion and approval of PRESANORD-11 verification
 

ArabCOF-3

 

Session 2: Climate monitoring and verification of previous climate outlooks (ArabCOF-1 and -2)

  • Verification of ArabCOF -2 outlook for spring 2018
  • Presentation of ArabCOF-3 climate monitoring draft
  • Discussion and approval of Step 2 ArabCOF-3 document.

Participants:

  • Mr. Sahabi Abed (tbc)
  • Mr. Tariq Joumah Abid Sharaan(Jordan) ( tbc )
  • Mr. Said Al Sarmi (GCC) (tbc)
  • Mr. Awatif Mosftfa (Egypt) ( tbc )
  • Ms. Soumaya Ben RACHED
11:00-11:30 COFFEE BREAK
11:30-13:00

Parallel sessions SEECOF-20, PRESANORD-12 and ArabCOF-3 (cont)

 

SEECOF-20

 

Session 3 - Production of regionalized climate outlook for winter (DJF) 2018-2019 over SEECOF domain (continuation) (Chair: Ms. Mirjana Ivanov)

  • Short review of Global and regional Inputs
  • Global Inputs: Mr. C.Viel (RA VI RCC on LRF Meteo-France) (tbc)
  • Regional inputs:
    • MedCOF input: Mr. E. Rodriguez Camino (AEMET)
    • SEEVCCC input: Mr. Branko Bijelic RA VI RCC-SEEVCCC/RHMSS (tbc)
    • Climate predictive signals for the SEECOF region: Ms. Roxana Bojariu (National Meteorological Administration, Romania) (tbc)
  • National inputs:
    • Climate outlook for winter 2018-2019 in Bulgaria: Mr I. Gospodinov, NIMH, Bulgaria (tbc)
    • Discussion
    • Editing and production of SEECOF-20 Climate Outlook bulletin: Mr. Branko Bijelic, RA VI RCC-SEEVCCC/RHMSS
 

PRESANORD-12

 

Session 3 - Production of regionalized climate outlook for winter (DJF) 2018-2019 over PRESANORD domain (continuation) (Chair: Ms Wafae Badi)

  • Short review of Global and regional Inputs
  • Global Inputs: Mr. Ernesto Rodriguez Camino
  • Regional inputs:
    • MedCOF input: Mr. E. Rodriguez Camino (AEMET)
    • PRESANORD input: Ms. Wafae Badi
    • Climate predictive signals for the PRESANORD region
  • National inputs:
    • Discussion
    • Editing and production of PRESANORD-12 Climate Outlook bulletin: All participants
 

ArabCOF-3

 

Session 3 - Production of regionalized climate outlook for winter (DJF) 2018-2019 over ArabCOF domain (continuation)

  • Short review of Global and regional Inputs
  • Global Inputs
  • Regional inputs:
    • MedCOF input
    • ArabCOF input
    • Climate predictive signals for the ArabCOF region
  • National inputs:
    • Discussion
    • Editing and production of ArabCOF-3 Climate Outlook bulletin

Participants:

  • Ms.Awatif Mosftafa(tbc)
  • Mr.Arjan Zamreeg(tbc)
  • Ms.Samia Al- Zakwani (tbc)
  • Ms. Wafee Badi (tbc)
  • Ms. Rabeb Selmi (tbc)
  • Mr. Salah Shabi (tbc)
13:00-14:00 LUNCH BREAK
14:00-15:00

Parallel sessions SEECOF-20, PRESANORD-12 and ArabCOF-3 (cont)

 

SEECOF-20

 

Session 3 - Production of regionalized climate outlook for winter (DJF) 2018-2019 over SEECOF domain (continuation) (Chair: Mr Branko Bjelic)

  • Discussion
  • Editing and production of SEECOF-20 Climate Outlook Bulletin
 

PRESANORD-12

 

Session 3 - Production of regionalized climate outlook for winter (DJF) 2018-2019 over PRESANORD domain (continuation)

  • Discussion
  • Editing and production of PRESANORD-12 Climate Outlook Bulletin
 

ArabCOF-3

 

Session 3 - Production of regionalized climate outlook for winter (DJF) 2018-2019 over ArabCOF domain (continuation) (Chair: Mr Ashraf Zakey)

Participants:

  • Ms. Awatif Mosftafa (tbc)
  • Mr. Arjan Zamreeg (tbc)
  • Ms. Samia Al- Zakwani (tbc)
  • Ms. Wafee Badi (tbc)
  • Ms. Rabeb Selmi (tbc)
  • Mr, Salah Shabi (tbc)
15:00-16:00

Session IV - Production of large-scale climate outlook for winter (DJF) 2018-2019 (Chair: E. Rodríguez-Camino)

  • Branko Bijelic: Brief report back from SEECOF-20
  • Wafae Badi: Brief report back from PRESANORD-12
  • Ashraf Zakey: Brief report back from ArabCOF-3
  • Discussion
16:00-16:30 COFFEE BREAK
16:30-18:00

Session IV - Production of large-scale climate outlook for winter (DJF) 2018-2019 (Chair: E. Rodríguez-Camino) (cont)

  • Discussion and approval of MedCOF-11 climate outlook statement (step 3 document)
18:00 Adjourn day 3

Thursday, 29 November 2018

09:00-11:00

Opening Remarks

Plenary session with users and stakeholders (Chair: Tarek Sadek)

  • Dunja Mazzocco Drvar (Croatia): Climate information communication aspects, good practices
  • Hesham Abdel Ghany (WMO, Bahrain): Seasonal forecasts importance to economic sectors
  • Stakeholder representatives: statements/presentations on the current status of utilization of climate information and products provided by EMA, and their needs and requirements of tailored products for decision making in agriculture and water management
10:30-11:00 COFFEE BREAK
11:30-13:00
  • Open discussions (Moderated by Chair)
  • Concluding remarks of the session with users and stakeholders
13:00-14:00 LUNCH BREAK
14:00-16:30

Plenary discussion on MedCOF/SEECOF/ArabCOF/PRESANORD internal matters (Chair: E. Rodríguez Camino)

  • Discussion on gaps, constraints, proposal for improvement of sessions
  • Conclusions and Recommendations for way forward
16:30 Closure of MedCOF11

 

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